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Monday, March 31, 2025

Oklahoma saw 10.8% increase in transfer dependency percentage between 1970 and 2022

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, government transfers accounted for 20.7% of total income in Oklahoma, a 10.8% rise from 9.9% in 1970, and a 3.3% increase over 2012’s 17.4%, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group. On a per capita basis, this equates to $11,654 per resident in 2022, up from $8,971 in 2012 and $2,118 in 1970.

Among Oklahoma’s counties, Beckham County and Woodward County saw the largest increase in transfer dependency over the past 10 years, surging 13.6% from 2012.

Jefferson County followed with the second-largest increase in transfer dependency, increasing 13% from 28.1% in 2012 to 41.1% in 2022, and an overall increase of 22.5% from 1970’s 18.6% transfer dependency. This trend is reflected in per capita amounts, with residents of Jefferson County receiving an average of $16,781 in transfer income in 2022, up from $11,555 in 2012 and more than double the $2,883 recorded in 1970.

Additionally, Pushmataha County and McIntosh County had the highest percentage of income derived from government transfers, at 43.1% in 2022, making them the counties with the highest overall transfer dependency. Choctaw County and Jefferson County followed closely behind, with transfer dependency rates of 41.8% and 41.1% in 2022, respectively.

For comparison, the statewide average was 20.7% in 2022, showing a higher dependency than the national average of 17.6%. On a per capita level, this translates to $11,654 per resident in 2022, compared to $11,542 nationwide.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In Oklahoma, reliance on government transfers was just 9.9% (or $2,118 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970. This has since increased to 20.7% (or $11,654 per capita) in 2022, reflecting a total increase of 10.8% since 1970. This shift is largely influenced by increased healthcare costs, and economic transformations that have reshaped income sources across the U.S.

In 2022, the primary government transfer programs in Oklahoma included:

  • Social Security: $3,727 (32% of total transfers)
  • Medicare: $2,831 (24.3% of total transfers)
  • Medicaid: $1,999 (17.2% of total transfers)
  • Income Maintenance Programs: $1,441 (12.4% of total transfers)

With 16.3% of the population aged 65 and older, Oklahoma has a significant demand for programs like Social Security and Medicare. However, counties with higher poverty rates also show elevated Medicaid and income maintenance participation.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,022 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,542 per capita) in 2022 nationwide. In Oklahoma, reliance on government transfers has similarly increased from 9.9% (or $2,118 per capita) in 1970 to 20.7% (or $11,654 per capita) in 2022, reflecting broader national trends.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Government Transfer Trends by County in Oklahoma, 2022
CountyDependency on Transfers (%)Change Since 2012Change Since 1970Per Capita Amount (2022)Per Capita Change Since 2012Per Capita Change Since 1970
Adair County37.3%3.3%10.8%$15,523$4,797$12,251
Alfalfa County23.7%8.4%13.8%$9,941$1,546$7,366
Atoka County35.2%4.4%13%$12,592$2,131$9,830
Beaver County14.7%3.9%9.9%$9,672$2,675$8,353
Beckham County28.6%13.6%12.9%$11,071$3,564$8,188
Blaine County27.9%4.9%14.4%$14,072$3,499$11,639
Bryan County27.9%-1.2%9.8%$12,401$1,942$9,708
Caddo County33.7%8.6%16.3%$14,926$5,324$12,052
Canadian County15.2%2.5%7.9%$8,179$1,647$6,483
Carter County27.2%6%12.4%$13,721$3,209$10,953
Cherokee County31.1%2.5%12.6%$12,969$2,999$10,483
Choctaw County41.8%2.6%16.7%$16,507$2,663$13,044
Cimarron County16.2%1%10.2%$11,592$1,174$9,915
Cleveland County18.1%3.9%12.7%$9,358$2,389$8,209
Coal County33.7%3.9%11.5%$14,430$3,520$11,215
Comanche County26%7%21.5%$12,414$3,865$11,301
Cotton County29.7%9.6%16.5%$14,289$4,576$11,883
Craig County37.2%7.4%23.5%$16,214$4,520$13,703
Creek County26.9%4%13.7%$12,981$2,904$10,651
Custer County22.9%7%12.1%$10,869$2,948$8,851
Delaware County33.8%4%13.9%$14,749$4,109$12,085
Dewey County25.5%8.8%13.5%$12,754$3,750$10,425
Ellis County21.9%11.2%12.9%$13,196$4,994$11,001
Garfield County24.2%6.2%15.9%$11,807$1,941$9,917
Garvin County29.5%2.7%14.7%$14,609$2,490$12,025
Grady County21.7%2.9%8.6%$10,445$2,024$8,005
Grant County24.6%8.5%15.2%$12,207$2,917$9,964
Greer County40.9%7.7%20.7%$13,915$2,679$10,943
Harmon County31.5%5.3%13.3%$15,041$3,684$12,202
Harper County19.9%5.5%12.4%$12,915$4,470$11,108
Haskell County38.4%8.1%17.5%$16,964$4,661$13,915
Hughes County31.5%-0.1%9.7%$14,737$3,153$11,361
Jackson County24.4%3.2%17.3%$11,927$2,613$10,237
Jefferson County41.1%13%22.5%$16,781$5,226$13,719
Johnston County34.5%1.5%12.4%$15,674$2,995$12,318
Kay County29.5%6.3%20.3%$14,266$3,613$12,143
Kingfisher County15.3%0%5.7%$11,025$2,901$9,203
Kiowa County34.7%8.1%18.8%$15,480$3,824$12,650
Latimer County40.9%8.9%22.7%$16,001$3,035$13,437
Le Flore County35.9%6%14.6%$14,872$3,748$11,734
Lincoln County28.1%5.1%14.7%$12,744$3,592$10,211
Logan County18.6%2%5.2%$8,991$1,244$6,519
Love County28.6%1.6%12.4%$12,378$1,867$9,794
McClain County19.1%3.2%8.9%$10,733$2,249$8,817
McCurtain County33.4%0.2%11.4%$14,636$2,773$11,762
McIntosh County43.1%5.7%19.3%$18,476$4,359$15,353
Major County24.4%7.3%15.1%$11,368$2,529$9,504
Marshall County32.7%3.9%11.1%$14,690$3,267$11,371
Mayes County32.5%4.7%18.2%$14,569$4,116$11,980
Murray County27.1%4.8%9.4%$13,485$2,818$10,430
Muskogee County36.4%7%20.8%$16,264$4,705$13,332
Noble County25.8%6.3%13.1%$12,639$3,329$10,353
Nowata County33.5%6.3%17.6%$14,796$3,909$11,903
Okfuskee County41%7.7%19.5%$15,727$4,705$12,690
Oklahoma County15.9%0.7%9%$10,843$2,392$9,062
Okmulgee County38.4%6.7%18%$16,347$4,657$12,992
Osage County23.6%2.2%14.3%$10,249$1,798$8,462
Ottawa County33.5%4%19.9%$15,522$3,609$13,057
Pawnee County34.4%7.4%21.1%$14,964$4,214$12,267
Payne County20.5%3.6%10.7%$9,307$2,393$7,771
Pittsburg County32.3%8.8%17.4%$13,729$3,550$11,269
Pontotoc County26.3%2.8%10.8%$13,941$3,478$11,311
Pottawatomie County27.2%4.8%15.4%$12,951$3,326$10,580
Pushmataha County43.1%7.9%16.4%$16,919$3,934$13,619
Roger Mills County23.8%11.1%11.4%$11,222$3,635$9,033
Rogers County20%2.8%10.2%$10,559$2,324$8,673
Seminole County35.5%7.8%15.3%$15,312$3,971$12,026
Sequoyah County36.4%5.5%17.5%$15,906$4,519$13,376
Stephens County28.6%10%17.3%$13,893$3,753$11,661
Texas County12.4%2.1%7.7%$7,491$2,019$6,142
Tillman County37.5%11.5%22.3%$12,860$2,080$10,070
Tulsa County15.3%4%7.8%$10,697$2,433$8,817
Wagoner County20.8%2.5%8.2%$10,347$2,559$8,281
Washington County13.5%-3.7%6.7%$13,032$3,326$11,190
Washita County31.1%11.8%19.9%$12,450$4,125$10,381
Woods County22.1%8.5%11.4%$10,553$2,745$8,541
Woodward County25.8%13.6%17.8%$10,460$3,265$8,766

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